TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg?

Volume:
$88,737

St. Pauli

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 4:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

St. Pauli

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,700
N/A
N/A
$11,256
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC St. Pauli 1910

100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,826
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,283
N/A
N/A
$9,213
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg)

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wolfsburg

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,492
N/A
N/A
$9,080
Settled
No
polymarket

VfL Wolfsburg

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga 2 soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets exist for St. Pauli winning, Wolfsburg winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets define resolution based on the same 90-minute plus stoppage time outcome and share consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official Bundesliga statistics (governing body or event organizers), with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A win for either team resolves the corresponding 'win' market to 'Yes'.
  • A draw resolves the 'draw' market to 'Yes'.
  • Postponement delays resolution until the match is completed.
  • Cancellation results in 'No' for win/loss markets and 'Yes' for the draw market.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Match: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the win/loss markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Data Discrepancies: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting. Revisions to official scores after resolution will not be considered.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official result is available, or within 2 hours of the match's conclusion if official data is delayed, utilizing the fallback sources as needed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between FC St. Pauli 1910 and VfL Wolfsburg.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes for the St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026: a win for St. Pauli, a win for Wolfsburg, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The governing league’s official result will be the definitive reference for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profit, incorporating a 'vig' or margin. Prediction markets, however, are driven by participants directly wagering on outcomes, creating a more organic reflection of collective belief. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may react slowly to new developments, this market adjusts rapidly based on trader activity and sentiment.