TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Volume:
$233,142

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 9:33 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,858
N/A
N/A
$22,717
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth)

100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC St. Pauli 1910

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,821
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

St. Pauli

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,637
N/A
N/A
$24,049
Settled
No
kalshi

Greuther Furth

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,129
N/A
N/A
$20,236
Settled
No
polymarket

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a Bundesliga 2 soccer match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth scheduled for August 9, 2026. The markets focus on determining whether the match will result in a win for FC St. Pauli, a draw, or a win for SpVgg Greuther Fürth within regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental outcome inclusion divergence between platformsHero tip: Traders should treat these markets as fundamentally different products. Kalshi's market resolves to Yes for any outcome, while Polymarket requires matching the specific outcome market. Consider hedging positions accordingly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will FC St. Pauli win? Will it end in a draw? Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win? Each market resolves Yes only if that specific outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves to Yes if St. Pauli wins, Greuther Fürth wins, OR the match ends in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Effectively a catch-all market for any outcome
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, August 9, 2026 between FC St. Pauli 1910 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match scheduled for August 9, 2026, between St. Pauli and Greuther Furth. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for St. Pauli, a win for Greuther Furth, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.