This event group covers a Bundesliga match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and SC Freiburg scheduled for March 22, 2026. Markets span spread betting (1.5 and 2.5 goal margins for both teams), total goals over/under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 thresholds), and both teams to score. All markets resolve on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket use identical resolution criteria: official bundesliga.com final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (markets remain open) and cancellations (50-50 resolution).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics published on bundesliga.com; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Spread: FC St. Pauli (-1.5) resolves YES if St. Pauli wins by 2+ goals; otherwise NO
Spread: FC St. Pauli (-2.5) resolves YES if St. Pauli wins by 3+ goals; otherwise NO
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5) resolves YES if Freiburg wins by 2+ goals; otherwise NO
Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5) resolves YES if Freiburg wins by 3+ goals; otherwise NO
Over/Under 1.5: Over if combined goals >= 2; Under if < 2
Over/Under 2.5: Over if combined goals >= 3; Under if < 3
Over/Under 3.5: Over if combined goals >= 4; Under if < 4
Over/Under 4.5: Over if combined goals >= 5; Under if < 5
Both Teams to Score: Yes if each team scores >= 1 goal; No if either team scores 0
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. No early resolution occurs.
Match Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets resolve 50-50 (split evenly between YES and NO outcomes).
Incomplete Match: If the match begins but is not completed, resolution uses the official final score published on bundesliga.com for the portion played.
Official Source Delay: If bundesliga.com does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources.
Time Scope: All resolutions are based strictly on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official final score is published on bundesliga.com, or within 2 hours post-match if official source is unavailable and credible reporting consensus is used.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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