TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München
Volume:
$3,044,063
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between FC St. Pauli 1910 and FC Bayern München.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 11, 2026, with no inclusion of extra time or penalties.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- The match outcome is determined solely by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Bayern Munich win, St. Pauli win, or draw.
- Exactly one of the three outcome markets will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs based on the final outcome of the completed match.
- Match Cancellation Without Make-Up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES and both win markets (Bayern Munich and St. Pauli) resolve NO.
- Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official Bundesliga/governing body statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by the Bundesliga or governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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