TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and Eintracht Frankfurt scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET. Markets span spread betting (goal-margin outcomes), both-teams-to-score, and over/under total goals across multiple thresholds, listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official Bundesliga.com score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponement (remain open), cancellation (50-50), and source hierarchy (official first, credible consensus second).
Primary resolution logic:
Bundesliga.com official final score; credible reporting consensus if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) resolves YES if Frankfurt wins by 3+ goals, otherwise NO
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5) resolves YES if Frankfurt wins by 2+ goals, otherwise NO
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-2.5) resolves YES if St. Pauli wins by 3+ goals, otherwise NO
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5) resolves YES if St. Pauli wins by 2+ goals, otherwise NO
- Both Teams to Score resolves YES if both teams score at least 1 goal, NO if either team scores 0
- Over/Under 1.5 resolves OVER if combined goals >= 2, UNDER if combined goals < 2
- Over/Under 2.5 resolves OVER if combined goals >= 3, UNDER if combined goals < 3
- Over/Under 3.5 resolves OVER if combined goals >= 4, UNDER if combined goals < 4
- Over/Under 4.5 resolves OVER if combined goals >= 5, UNDER if combined goals < 5
- All markets measure only outcomes within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
- Match Cancellation (No Make-up): All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split evenly between YES and NO outcomes).
- Match Started but Not Completed: Markets resolve according to the official final score published by Bundesliga.com for the completed portion, treating it as the final result.
- Official Statistics Delay: If Bundesliga.com does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
- Extra Time and Penalties: All markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalty outcomes; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time score is used for resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official Bundesliga.com statistics are published (or within 2 hours thereafter if credible reporting consensus is required). Postponed matches remain open until rescheduled completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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