This event group covers a Bundesliga match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and Eintracht Frankfurt scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the outcome (St. Pauli win, Frankfurt win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while win markets resolve No. Kalshi does not specify cancellation behavior.
Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket traders holding draw positions will receive Yes resolution while win position holders receive No. Kalshi's cancellation protocol is undefined. Request clarification from Kalshi before event date and monitor Bundesliga.com for postponement notices.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate markets: St. Pauli win (resolves No if canceled), Draw (resolves Yes if canceled), Frankfurt win (resolves No if canceled). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Primary source is official Bundesliga statistics or credible reporting if not published within 2 hours. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup triggers the asymmetric resolution above.
Kalshi: Three markets bundled as one group: Frankfurt win, St. Pauli win, and Tie all resolve to Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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