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FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Who will score first: FC St. Gallen or Sport Lisboa e Benfica?

Volume:
$660

FC St. Gallen 1879

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 3:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

FC St. Gallen 1879

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$106
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC St. Gallen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$452
N/A
N/A
$423
Settled
No
polymarket

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

SL Benfica

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the first team to score in a Europa League match between FC St. Gallen and Sport Lisboa e Benfica scheduled for July 23, 2026. The markets track which team (if any) records the opening goal, with different platforms applying different time windows and resolution scopes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time window scope mismatch between platforms. Kalshi includes extra time in resolution scope; Polymarket explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, resolving only on first goal within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.Hero tip: Identify which platform aligns with your prediction intent. If you believe a goal will be scored in regulation or stoppage time, both platforms align. If you are hedging on extra-time scenarios, Kalshi and Polymarket will produce different outcomes. Monitor match progression closely if the score remains 0-0 at 90 minutes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if FC St. Gallen or SL Benfica records first goal during entire game including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods. All three outcomes (St. Gallen first, Benfica first, no goal) resolve to YES, indicating this is a binary confirmation market rather than a competitive outcome market.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to FC St. Gallen, Sport Lisboa e Benfica, or Neither based on first goal within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shootouts explicitly excluded. If no goal in 90+stoppage, resolves to Neither.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between FC St. Gallen and Sport Lisboa e Benfica, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC St. Gallen" if FC St. Gallen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

If FC St. Gallen 1879 records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the FC St. Gallen 1879 vs SL Benfica professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If SL Benfica records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the FC St. Gallen 1879 vs SL Benfica professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the FC St. Gallen 1879 vs SL Benfica professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The first-goal scorer market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi on which team will score first in the St. Gallen versus Benfica match. This market captures real-time consensus on the opening goal, with prices reflecting the collective assessment of both teams' attacking threat and defensive vulnerability. Traders on both venues are pricing the likelihood of each outcome independently, creating a cross-platform view of how the market perceives the early momentum and tactical setup of the fixture.

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on continuous trader-set pricing rather than fixed sportsbook lines. Participants buy and sell shares tied to outcomes, with prices reflecting live supply and demand. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, prediction markets often adjust faster to breaking news, team news, or sentiment shifts because any trader can move the price instantly. This dynamic mechanism can yield tighter spreads and more efficient pricing, though liquidity varies by venue and event.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift odds, especially if a key striker or defender is ruled out. Pre-match tactical announcements or formation leaks may alter perceptions of attacking intent. Weather conditions, pitch state, and referee assignments can influence early-game dynamics. Live betting sentiment often accelerates price movement as kickoff approaches. Unexpected lineup surprises at team sheets release typically trigger sharp repricing. Historical head-to-head patterns and recent form streaks also inform trader positioning throughout the countdown to kickoff.