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402,751

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5

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FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica
kalshi
limitless
polymarket

What is the result of St. Gallen vs SL Benfica?

Volume:
$1,558,915

Reg Time: St. Gallen

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 3:52 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: St. Gallen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$254,906
N/A
N/A
$132,350
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC St. Gallen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$127,161
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

FC ST. Gallen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.6¢
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: SL Benfica

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$690,394
N/A
N/A
$387,043
Settled
No
polymarket

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255,577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Benfica

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.6¢
N/A
$288
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$158,947
N/A
N/A
$94,337
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.6¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether FC St. Gallen will win the Europa League match against Sport Lisboa e Benfica scheduled for July 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The aggregated consensus probability for a FC St. Gallen win is 100.0% across Kalshi, Limitless, and Polymarket. The market resolves based on official match results and specific cancellation rules. Watch the match on July 23, 2026, as this is the event that will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation and postponement handling differs materially across platforms. Kalshi provides no cancellation clause; Limitless and Polymarket both address cancellation but with different outcomes for draw vs. win markets.Hero tip: Monitor UEFA's official schedule closely. If the match is postponed beyond September 21, 2026, Limitless draw bets become YES while win bets become NO—a significant arbitrage opportunity. Polymarket's open-until-completion rule means postponed matches may trade for extended periods. Kalshi's silence on cancellation is a red flag; seek clarification or avoid edge-case exposure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: All three outcome markets (St. Gallen win, Benfica win, Tie) resolve to YES. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Logic appears to assume the match will occur as scheduled.
  • Limitless: St. Gallen and Benfica win markets resolve NO if match is canceled entirely or postponed after September 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Draw market resolves YES if canceled entirely or postponed after the cutoff. Partial cancellation (within 90 min) resolves based on official data at time of cancellation.
  • Polymarket: St. Gallen and Benfica win markets resolve NO if canceled with no makeup game. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup. Postponed matches remain open until completion. No hard cutoff date for postponement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, July 23, 2026 between FC St. Gallen and Sport Lisboa e Benfica.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final score of the St. Gallen vs SL Benfica Europa League match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each outcome—St. Gallen win, SL Benfica win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for July 23, 2026, 17:00 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price the same event differently because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. On this market, the consensus odds reflect thousands of individual positions rather than a bookmaker's risk management. Prediction market prices often lead sportsbook lines because traders have real-money skin in the game and react faster to new information. Comparing the two can reveal mispricings and help you identify where the smart money is positioning ahead of the match.

Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates price gaps. Kalshi and Limitless may also have slightly different contract specifications or settlement rules that influence how traders value the outcome. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but temporary divergences persist due to geographic restrictions, platform-specific incentives, or uneven information flow. Monitoring both venues helps you spot opportunities and understand which platform's crowd is more confident in a particular outcome.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or managerial decisions can swing odds sharply in either direction. Recent form, head-to-head records, and tournament context all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions at match time and late-breaking tactical adjustments may also trigger repricing. Monitor team social media, official press releases, and sports news outlets for updates that could affect the fixture. Major injuries to star players or unexpected roster moves often trigger the largest market moves, so staying informed gives you an edge in timing your trades.