TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 6:08 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Nike Liga game between FC Spartak Trnava and MFK Skalica, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Spartak Trnava" if FC Spartak Trnava score more goals than MFK Skalica in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Spartak Trnava and MFK Skalica score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "MFK Skalica" if MFK Skalica score more goals than FC Spartak Trnava in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Nike Liga game between FC Spartak Trnava and MFK Skalica, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Spartak Trnava" if FC Spartak Trnava score more goals than MFK Skalica in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Spartak Trnava and MFK Skalica score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "MFK Skalica" if MFK Skalica score more goals than FC Spartak Trnava in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. Sportsbooks may adjust faster for sharp action, whereas prediction markets can incorporate longer-term sentiment and specialized knowledge. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional oddsmaking, though both ultimately aim to price uncertainty around the same underlying event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as new trades flow in, with each outcome assigned a probability share that sums to 100 percent. The cost to buy or sell a share reflects the current implied likelihood of that result, and slippage increases as order size grows. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-driven pricing where the crowd's aggregate belief directly determines the odds you see.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the second half of the match between Spartak Trnava and Skalica concludes. The outcome is determined by the verified result of that half—whether it ends in a win for one side, a draw, or another specified result—confirmed against credible public sources. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution timing may shift slightly if the match is postponed or rescheduled.
Team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff can shift odds significantly. Early first-half momentum and goals scored in the opening 45 minutes often reshape expectations for the second half, as traders reassess fatigue, tactical adjustments, and psychological factors. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and red cards during the first half may also influence how traders price second-half outcomes. Real-time updates from the match feed and social media sentiment can trigger sharp repricing as new information emerges.