TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 6:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Sion and FK BATE Barysaŭ, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Sion vs. FK BATE Barysaŭ match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Sion and FK BATE Barysaŭ, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Sion vs. FK BATE Barysaŭ match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who profit only if their forecast is correct, creating a direct financial incentive for accuracy. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to traditional sportsbook lines can reveal where the two communities disagree on the most likely scoreline, offering insight into potential value or consensus blind spots.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism in which traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible exact score. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost of a share rises as more traders back that outcome, and falls as they exit. This continuous pricing model means odds update in real time based on order flow, without requiring a human oddsmaker. Traders profit by identifying scorelines they believe are underpriced relative to true probability, creating competitive pressure that keeps prices aligned with genuine expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team at the end of regulation time. No adjustments are made for extra time or penalty shootouts unless the competition format specifies otherwise. Resolution is automatic once the official result is confirmed, ensuring all positions settle fairly and transparently based on the actual scoreline.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter the probability of specific scorelines. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or media outlets may shift trader conviction toward higher or lower-scoring outcomes. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence how traders price individual exact scores. Weather conditions, travel fatigue, or fixture congestion closer to kickoff can also trigger repricing. As the match approaches, any breaking news about squad availability or unexpected developments will likely trigger sharp moves in this market.