TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Sheriff Tiraspol and NK Aluminij, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Sheriff Tiraspol" if FC Sheriff Tiraspol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Aluminij" if NK Aluminij are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FC Sheriff Tiraspol and NK Aluminij, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Sheriff Tiraspol" if FC Sheriff Tiraspol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Aluminij" if NK Aluminij are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than a fixed bookmaker margin. On this market, odds may move more dynamically as new information emerges, team lineups are announced, or injury reports surface. Sportsbooks typically adjust more slowly and build in a larger vig, whereas prediction markets reward early insight and can offer sharper pricing for informed traders willing to take contrarian positions.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where buying or selling shares directly moves the odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—Sheriff scores first or Aluminij scores first—has its own price, and the combined probability of all outcomes equals 100 percent. As more capital flows into one side, the price adjusts upward; conversely, withdrawals push it lower. This continuous repricing ensures the market reflects the latest consensus among active participants.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is officially recorded. The outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting from the match, such as official league records or widely recognized sports data providers. Whichever team's name appears in the goal-scorer records first will determine the winning outcome, and positions will settle accordingly on the platform.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star forwards, lineup announcements, or tactical changes that affect attacking prowess. Weather conditions on match day—rain, wind, or extreme heat—can influence early-game dynamics and scoring patterns. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any last-minute roster updates will likely trigger repricing. Additionally, betting syndicate activity or sharp money flowing into one side can signal confidence and shift odds meaningfully in the final hours before kickoff.