TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between FC Sheriff Tiraspol and NK Aluminij, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between FC Sheriff Tiraspol and NK Aluminij, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. This market aggregates dispersed information from thousands of independent forecasters, which can reveal edges that sportsbooks have not yet priced in. Comparing the implied probabilities here to major sportsbook lines may highlight valuable discrepancies for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism, where each exact-score outcome is represented as a tradable contract. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the probability that traders assign to that specific scoreline occurring. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting patterns—traders adjust their positions, moving prices in real time. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices respond to new signals.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the Sheriff versus Aluminij match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular time; the winning contract corresponds to the precise goal tally for both teams. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, after major sports data providers and official match records confirm the result. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout automatically.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form trends. Head-to-head history and tactical adjustments can shift trader expectations about likely scorelines. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and late-breaking developments in either squad's preparation may trigger repricing. As kickoff approaches, volume typically increases and odds tighten around the most probable outcomes. Live betting sentiment and early-match developments will also influence final positions before settlement.