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FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Which team will score first: FC Sheriff Tiraspol or MH Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Volume:
$109

MH Maccabi Tel Aviv

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 5:41 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

MH Maccabi Tel Aviv

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Maccabi Tel Aviv FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Sheriff Tiraspol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

FC Sheriff Tiraspol

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a single soccer match between FC Sheriff Tiraspol and MH Maccabi Tel Aviv scheduled for July 23, 2026, with markets determining which team scores first. The core question is identical across platforms, but the resolution scope and edge-case handling differ significantly between Kalshi and Polymarket.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where all three possible outcomes (Sheriff first, Maccabi first, no goal) resolve to Yes, rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses a clear ternary outcome model with explicit time scope (90 minutes plus stoppage only, excluding extra time).Hero tip: Polymarket's market is tradeable and clear. Kalshi's market should be flagged as having a critical data integrity issue—contact Kalshi support to clarify whether this is a settlement error or intentional design before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: All three outcomes (Sheriff scores first, Maccabi scores first, no goal scored) are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility: the market cannot differentiate between outcomes. Scope includes entire game including extra time periods.
  • Polymarket: Clear ternary resolution: Sheriff Tiraspol, MH Maccabi Tel Aviv, or Neither. Scope is strictly 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shootouts explicitly excluded. Primary source is official statistics from governing body or credible reporting consensus if unavailable within 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between FC Sheriff Tiraspol and MH Maccabi Tel Aviv, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Sheriff Tiraspol" if FC Sheriff Tiraspol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "MH Maccabi Tel Aviv" if MH Maccabi Tel Aviv are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by which team records the first goal during the entire match, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If FC Sheriff Tiraspol scores first, that outcome resolves to Yes. If Maccabi Tel Aviv FC scores first, that outcome resolves to Yes. If the match ends without any goal being scored, the No Goal outcome resolves to Yes. Own goals are credited to the team awarded the goal by official match records. The match is a professional Europa League game originally scheduled for July 23, 2026.

Frequently asked questions

The first goal scorer market aggregates predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking which team will score the opening goal in the FC Sheriff Tiraspol versus MH Maccabi Tel Aviv match. Traders on both venues place bets on this outcome, and the dashboard displays real-time odds, cumulative volume across platforms, and consensus probability. This market reflects collective forecasting from thousands of participants and updates continuously as new information emerges. The cross-platform view helps traders spot pricing discrepancies and identify where the broader prediction community leans on this specific event.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading, where odds reflect live supply and demand rather than a sportsbook's fixed margin. This often produces sharper, more responsive pricing, especially as match day approaches. Sportsbooks build in a house edge and adjust lines to balance liability; prediction markets have no middleman, so traders capture the full spread. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news due to dedicated risk teams. Both venues price this market, but their mechanisms differ—prediction markets reward accuracy over volume, while traditional odds prioritize balanced action.