TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Seoul and Incheon United FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Seoul" if FC Seoul are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Incheon United FC" if Incheon United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FC Seoul and Incheon United FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Seoul" if FC Seoul are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Incheon United FC" if Incheon United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. This market may price the outcome differently than traditional sports betting venues because participants here have direct financial exposure to accuracy rather than a fixed payout structure. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost to buy a share reflects the current probability; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information, team news, and shifting expectations about which side will find the net first.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed through credible public reporting of the match result, ensuring clarity on which team scored first. Resolution happens automatically after the event is finalized and the information is available to the platform, allowing traders to settle their positions based on the verified result.
Team news—injuries to key strikers, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter scoring expectations. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage at Seoul's stadium all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and any pre-match controversies may also shift sentiment. As the fixture date approaches, late-breaking roster updates or coaching decisions typically drive the most volatile price movements in this market.