TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming K-League game between FC Seoul and Incheon United FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC match originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming K-League game between FC Seoul and Incheon United FC, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC match originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who profit from accuracy. Traders in this market compete to forecast the exact final score, creating incentives to incorporate all available information—team form, injuries, weather, and historical matchups. Sportsbooks typically offer three-way outcomes (win/draw/loss), whereas this market isolates individual scorelines, allowing for more granular probability assessment. Over time, prediction market prices tend to converge toward actual outcomes as traders learn and adjust.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) model where traders directly buy and sell outcome shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact score outcome has its own price, determined by the ratio of shares purchased relative to total liquidity. As traders accumulate conviction around a particular scoreline—say, a 1–1 draw or a 2–0 Seoul victory—they purchase shares in that outcome, pushing its price upward and reflecting increased probability. The system incentivizes arbitrage and information discovery, so prices adjust continuously as new data emerges. Wider spreads between bid and ask prices indicate lower confidence or liquidity in that specific scoreline.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC match concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time, confirmed through credible public reporting of the match result. All traders holding shares in the winning scoreline receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution is automatic once the event is finalized and reported by official K League sources and major sports data providers.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp repricing. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader expectations. Early match events like an opening goal, red card, or penalty can cause dramatic swings in scoreline probabilities. Betting syndicates and sharp traders may also move prices based on proprietary models or late information. Monitor official team announcements and live match commentary to anticipate how odds might evolve.