TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between FC Südtirol (Bolzano) and Modena FC 2018 scheduled for April 11, 2026. Three prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: whether Südtirol wins, whether Modena wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes an explicit cancellation clause (resolves YES if game canceled with no make-up), while Kalshi's three-outcome structure does not provide equivalent cancellation guidance for the tie outcome. This creates ambiguity in an edge case scenario.Hero Tip:
Before April 11, 2026, confirm with Kalshi whether a canceled match (no make-up) would resolve their tie market to YES, NO, or remain open. Polymarket draw traders are explicitly protected. For normal match completion, all platforms align on 90-minute + stoppage time resolution using official Serie B statistics.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Modena win (YES/NO), Südtirol win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up game. Primary source: official statistics from governing body or event organizers (legaserieb.it), with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting consensus. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'Kalshi:
Three binary markets with unified outcome structure: Südtirol Bolzano wins (YES), Modena wins (YES), or Tie occurs (YES). No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. All three markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time, but cancellation handling for tie outcome is not stated. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins the Sudtirol Bolzano vs Modena professional Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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