TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 5:41 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Santa Coloma and SK Rapid Wien, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Santa Coloma" if FC Santa Coloma score more goals than SK Rapid Wien in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Santa Coloma and SK Rapid Wien score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Rapid Wien" if SK Rapid Wien score more goals than FC Santa Coloma in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Santa Coloma and SK Rapid Wien, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Santa Coloma" if FC Santa Coloma score more goals than SK Rapid Wien in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Santa Coloma and SK Rapid Wien score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Rapid Wien" if SK Rapid Wien score more goals than FC Santa Coloma in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus without a built-in house edge. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper pricing because traders have direct financial exposure and compete on accuracy. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value relative to professional oddsmakers, though each reflects legitimate market intelligence.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of shares outstanding; as traders accumulate positions, the price adjusts continuously. Participants profit by correctly predicting the second-half result, with payouts determined by the final share price at resolution. This mechanism encourages price discovery and allows traders to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, creating transparent, real-time pricing that aggregates distributed information across the trader community.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during the second half of the fixture. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout automatically upon resolution. Until that moment, positions remain open and prices may shift as new match developments unfold. Early resolution is not typical unless the match is abandoned or postponed under exceptional circumstances.
Several factors can shift trader positioning before resolution. Early-match developments—such as goals, red cards, or injuries to key players—typically trigger sharp repricing as participants reassess second-half probabilities. Team news or tactical adjustments announced at halftime can also move odds significantly. Momentum swings, weather changes, or unexpected substitutions influence trader conviction about the likely outcome. Additionally, large trades or sudden volume spikes can signal informed positioning, prompting other participants to adjust. Real-time score updates and live commentary often catalyze rapid repricing as the match unfolds and new information becomes available.