TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Santa Coloma and Penybont FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Santa Coloma" if FC Santa Coloma score more goals than Penybont FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Santa Coloma and Penybont FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Penybont FC" if Penybont FC score more goals than FC Santa Coloma in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Santa Coloma and Penybont FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Santa Coloma" if FC Santa Coloma score more goals than Penybont FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Santa Coloma and Penybont FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Penybont FC" if Penybont FC score more goals than FC Santa Coloma in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who profit by forecasting accurately. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value that bookmakers have priced differently.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism, with each share reflecting the probability of a specific second-half outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see is determined by supply and demand—as more traders buy shares predicting one result, the price rises and the implied probability increases. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to breaking news, team updates, and betting patterns.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match between Santa Coloma and Penybont concludes and the second-half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during the second half only, independent of the first-half result. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to settle positions promptly.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff, which can shift expectations for second-half performance. In-game momentum—goals, red cards, or tactical shifts during the first half—often triggers repricing as traders reassess the likely second-half outcome. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates may also influence trading activity. Closer to Jul 16, 2026, late-breaking injury reports or official team confirmations typically drive the sharpest price movements.