TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:42 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Porto and Sport Lisboa e Benfica, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Porto" if FC Porto are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Porto and Sport Lisboa e Benfica, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Porto" if FC Porto are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can drive the price on Polymarket in the opposite direction. This can create opportunities for arbitrage or simply a more accurate assessment of the true probability, as determined by market participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether FC Porto or Sport Lisboa e Benfica will score the first goal. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s depth and volume provide insight into the confidence level behind each possible outcome, offering a dynamic and real-time view of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the FC Porto versus Sport Lisboa e Benfica match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market’s settlement data on Polymarket following the conclusion of the game and official confirmation of the first goalscorer.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Porto or Sport Lisboa e Benfica would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also shift the odds, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about which team is more likely to score first.