TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC
polymarket
kalshi

FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC

Volume:
$222,612

FC Porto

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 16, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 4:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FC Porto

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$89,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Porto

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,959
N/A
N/A
$30,673
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Moreirense

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,988
N/A
N/A
$30,437
Settled
No
polymarket

Moreirense FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,701
N/A
N/A
$16,974
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional Liga Portugal soccer match between FC Porto and Moreirense FC scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with resolution tied to official Liga Portugal statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary markets (exactly one resolves Yes), while Kalshi uses independent outcome-specific Yes/No markets. Both reference the same match and resolution source, but the market structure creates incompatible settlement logic.Hero tip: Understand that Polymarket and Kalshi are offering different product structures for the same event. On Polymarket, you are betting on which single outcome occurs. On Kalshi, you are betting on whether a specific outcome occurs (with the logical constraint that only one can actually happen). Cross-platform arbitrage is not possible due to structural differences, not resolution differences.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets. Exactly one market (Porto Win, Moreirense Win, or Draw) will resolve Yes; the other two resolve No. Resolution source: official Liga Portugal statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if official stats delayed. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Three independent Yes/No markets, each tied to a specific outcome. Each market independently resolves Yes if that outcome occurs. Implicitly uses same resolution source (Liga Portugal official statistics) and scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time). No explicit fallback source stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.