This event group covers the outcome of the FC Nantes vs. Le Havre AC Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for February 22, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Nantes win, a Le Havre win, or a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES upon game cancellation with no makeup, while Nantes and Le Havre win markets resolve NO. Kalshi contains no cancellation clause, creating ambiguity about settlement in a cancellation scenario.
Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket draw market resolves YES (profitable for draw backers) while Polymarket win markets resolve NO (loss for win backers). Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Hedge accordingly or seek clarification from Kalshi before the match date.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Le Havre win (YES if Le Havre wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise), Nantes win (YES if Nantes wins, NO otherwise). Explicit cancellation rule: draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup; win markets resolve NO if canceled. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes"' (draw) and 'this market will resolve "No"' (win markets).
Kalshi: Three binary markets covering all outcomes (Tie, Le Havre win, Nantes win). Each resolves YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for other outcomes), with no mention of cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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