TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Milsami Orhei and FK Velež Mostar, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Milsami Orhei" if FC Milsami Orhei are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Velež Mostar" if FK Velež Mostar are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FC Milsami Orhei and FK Velež Mostar, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Milsami Orhei" if FC Milsami Orhei are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Velež Mostar" if FK Velež Mostar are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. On this market, odds can move more fluidly as new information emerges, team news breaks, or betting patterns shift. Sportsbooks typically adjust more slowly and build in a profit margin, whereas prediction markets aggregate the collective wisdom of many participants. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees edge or where consensus differs from professional oddsmakers.
Polymarket prices this outcome through an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell shares representing each team's probability of scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the cumulative bets placed; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome falls. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures liquidity and allows you to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time rates determined entirely by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal in regulation time. Once the event is confirmed through reliable sources, the market settles automatically and winnings are distributed to holders of the correct outcome.
Team news—injuries to key strikers, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter scoring probabilities. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day, late roster changes, or unexpected absences may trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, early match action, such as dominant possession or early chances, often prompts traders to adjust odds in real time, reflecting evolving expectations about which side is more likely to break the deadlock first.