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395,664

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5

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FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC
polymarket
kalshi

FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC

Volume:
$1,800,015

Nottingham Forest FC

 - Polymarket

Nottingham Forest FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 20, 2026

Closed: Mar 19, 1:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Nottingham Forest FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,017,532
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,785
N/A
N/A
$11,168
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,245
N/A
N/A
$4,867
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Midtjylland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373,419
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$366,233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,479
N/A
N/A
$11,626
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,322
N/A
N/A
$2,539
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026 between FC Midtjylland and Nottingham Forest FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket settles on match outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, while Kalshi settles on total goals scored by both teams combined. The platforms measure fundamentally different settlement values: Polymarket resolves on result, Kalshi resolves on goal thresholds.Hero tip: If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on who wins the match. If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on whether combined goals exceed specific thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5). These are independent outcomes — a Midtjylland win does not predict total goals, and high-scoring draws resolve differently across platforms. Manage your exposure separately on each platform.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three binary outcome markets (Midtjylland win, Nottingham Forest win, draw) that collectively partition all possible match results. Each market resolves YES or NO based solely on the final match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using official UEFA statistics as primary source. Key quote: 'If FC Midtjylland wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers four binary markets based on total goals scored by both teams combined, with thresholds at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 goals. Each market resolves YES if combined goals exceed the stated threshold, NO otherwise, independent of match outcome. Key quote: 'If Nottingham and Midtjylland collectively score more than 3.5 total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.