This event group covers multiple betting markets on the Ligue 1 soccer match between FC Metz and Stade Brestois 29 scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET. Markets include over/under total goals (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), point spreads for both teams, and a both-teams-to-score market. All markets resolve based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution criteria: official Ligue 1 final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open) and cancellations (50-50 split).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Ligue 1 final score published on ligue1.com
Core resolution logic:
Over/Under 1.5: Resolves Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if < 2
Over/Under 2.5: Resolves Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if < 3
Over/Under 3.5: Resolves Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if < 4
Over/Under 4.5: Resolves Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if < 5
Spread Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5): Resolves Stade Brestois 29 if they win by >= 2 goals, otherwise FC Metz
Spread FC Metz (-1.5): Resolves FC Metz if they win by >= 2 goals, otherwise Stade Brestois 29
Spread FC Metz (-2.5): Resolves FC Metz if they win by >= 3 goals, otherwise Stade Brestois 29
Spread Stade Brestois 29 (-2.5): Resolves Stade Brestois 29 if they win by >= 3 goals, otherwise FC Metz
Both Teams to Score: Resolves Yes if both teams score >= 1 goal each, No if either team scores 0
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed. No early resolution occurs.
Game Cancellation (No Make-up): All markets resolve 50-50 (split evenly between Yes and No, or between both outcomes).
Incomplete Game: If the game starts but does not complete, resolution follows the official final score published by Ligue 1, treating it as a completed match.
Scope of Play: All markets measure only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official final score is published on ligue1.com, which typically happens within hours of the final whistle.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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