This event group covers a Ligue 1 soccer match between FC Metz and AJ Auxerre scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets span match outcome (Kalshi) and goal-based prop bets including both teams to score and total goals over/under at multiple thresholds (Polymarket).
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms align on the 90-minute-plus-stoppage-time window, ligue1.com as the official source, and the treatment of postponements and cancellations, with only minor procedural differences in edge-case handling.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Ligue 1 website (ligue1.com) - final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
Core resolution logic:
Resolution window is the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
Official final score is published on ligue1.com and serves as the authoritative settlement source
For match outcome (Kalshi): Metz win, Auxerre win, or tie each resolve to Yes if that outcome occurs; all three outcomes are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive
For both teams to score (Polymarket): Yes if each team scores at least one goal; No if either team scores zero goals
For total goals over/under (Polymarket): O/U 1.5 resolves Over at 2+ combined goals; O/U 2.5 at 3+; O/U 3.5 at 4+; O/U 4.5 at 5+; all others resolve Under
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game postponed: Markets remain open until the game is completed and the official final score is published on ligue1.com
Game canceled with no make-up: Polymarket prop markets (both teams to score, O/U totals) resolve 50-50; Kalshi match outcome markets have no explicit resolution path and would require platform discretion
Game started but not completed: Resolution follows the official final score published on ligue1.com at the time of stoppage
Extra time or penalties: These are explicitly excluded from all market resolutions; only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the official final score is published on ligue1.com following the conclusion of the match on February 15, 2026 (scheduled for 11:15 AM ET)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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