TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kawasaki Frontale
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FC Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Volume:
$240,385

Machida Z

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 8:03 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Machida Z

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$83,507
N/A
N/A
$48,852
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Machida Zelvia

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$45,306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kawasaki Frontale

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Frontale

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,466
N/A
N/A
$16,581
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,385
N/A
N/A
$10,032
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kawasaki Frontale)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether FC Machida Zelvia will win their Japan J1 League soccer match against Kawasaki Frontale on September 2, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of FC Machida Zelvia winning is 100.0%, with Kawasaki Frontale winning at 0.1%. These probabilities are sourced from Kalshi and Polymarket, and the official result will be determined by the JLeague at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Keep an eye on the team lineups announced closer to September 2, 2026, as these will provide insight into each team’s strategy for the match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure divergence - Polymarket uses three separate binary markets while Kalshi uses a single market that resolves Yes for any outcomeHero tip: Kalshi market will always resolve to Yes unless the game is canceled with no makeup. Polymarket markets resolve based on specific outcome matches. Do not treat these markets as equivalent.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will FC Machida Zelvia win? Will the match end in a draw? Will Kawasaki Frontale win? Each resolves Yes/No based on specific outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves Yes if Machida Z wins OR Frontale wins OR the match ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolves No only if the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 2, 2026 between FC Machida Zelvia and Kawasaki Frontale.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Machida Z vs Frontale professional Japan J1 League soccer match originally scheduled for September 2, 2026. The primary determination is made after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Machida Z wins, Frontale wins, or the match ends in a tie—all resolved within this single competitive framework. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will instead resolve to a fair price, ensuring transparency and equitable treatment for all participants under exceptional circumstances.