TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Lugano and Young Boys Bern, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Lugano" if FC Lugano are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Young Boys Bern" if Young Boys Bern are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Lugano and Young Boys Bern, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Lugano" if FC Lugano are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Young Boys Bern" if Young Boys Bern are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Polymarket may move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Lugano or Young Boys will score first. As more shares are traded, the price of each share adjusts to reflect the collective probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'Yes' share (Lugano scores first) or a 'No' share (Young Boys scores first) indicates the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. Higher demand for a particular outcome will drive up its share price, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the FC Lugano versus Young Boys Bern match. Official match reports and data from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their holdings in the winning share.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lugano or Young Boys would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, recent match results, or tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and increasing the likelihood of one team scoring early. Unexpected announcements related to the match itself could also move the market.