TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:01 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Switzerland Super League game between FC Lugano and Young Boys Bern, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Lugano vs. Young Boys Bern match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Switzerland Super League game between FC Lugano and Young Boys Bern, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Lugano vs. Young Boys Bern match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks. If a large number of people believe a specific outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into where the crowd sees value and potential mispricings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated view of the crowd. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating a greater perceived chance of it occurring, while lower demand will decrease the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the FC Lugano vs. Young Boys match, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct exact score will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either FC Lugano or Young Boys could significantly shift the odds. Tactical changes announced by the coaches, weather conditions on match day, or even unexpected lineup decisions could all impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or changes in team form could also cause the market to react. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to Sep 12, 2026 will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.