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Closed: Sep 16, 2:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the result of the second half of a Swiss Super League soccer match between FC Lugano and FC St. Gallen 1879. The markets ask who will win the second half, or if it will end in a draw, considering goals scored only during the second half plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Switzerland Super League game between FC Lugano and FC St. Gallen 1879, scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Lugano" if FC Lugano score more goals than FC St. Gallen 1879 in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Lugano and FC St. Gallen 1879 score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC St. Gallen 1879" if FC St. Gallen 1879 score more goals than FC Lugano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
The event resolves based on the result of the Lugano vs St. Gallen professional Swiss Super League soccer match scheduled for September 16, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Lugano wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Lugano' market resolves to Yes. If St. Gallen wins under the same conditions, the 'St. Gallen' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regular time and stoppage, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the outcome within regular time and stoppage, with no consideration for results determined in extra time or penalty shootouts.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity – the amount of trading activity – can also lead to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the platforms may attract different types of traders with varying levels of expertise or access to information about the FC Lugano vs. St. Gallen match. These combined factors contribute to the observed price variations.