TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FC Lorient vs. Paris FC
kalshi
polymarket

FC Lorient vs. Paris FC

Volume:
$447,119

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 5, 2026

Closed: Apr 5, 2:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69,705
N/A
N/A
$46,434
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (FC Lorient vs. Paris FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,064
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Lorient

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154,465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lorient

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,154
N/A
N/A
$61,132
Settled
No
kalshi

Paris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,865
N/A
N/A
$27,529
Settled
No
polymarket

Paris FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,866
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for Sunday, April 5, 2026 between FC Lorient and Paris FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's three markets create a logical contradiction: all three outcomes (Paris win, Lorient win, Tie) are marked to resolve YES, making it impossible for exactly one market to resolve YES. Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive and logically sound. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group until the contradiction is resolved. Kalshi's rules state that a Paris win, Lorient win, AND a Tie all resolve to YES — but only one outcome can occur. Polymarket's markets are logically consistent: exactly one of the three outcomes (Lorient win, Paris win, or draw) will resolve YES. Trade Polymarket with confidence; treat Kalshi as unresolvable until corrected.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction. All three possible outcomes (Paris win, Lorient win, Tie) are specified to resolve to YES, violating the principle that only one outcome can occur in a single match. Key quote: 'If Paris wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Lorient wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This makes the market group fundamentally unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound logic: Provides three mutually exclusive markets (Lorient win, Paris win, draw) where exactly one will resolve YES and the others NO, matching the single outcome of a soccer match. Key quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and parallel logic for win markets. Resolves based on official Ligue1.com statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.