This event group covers a Ligue 1 soccer match between FC Lorient and AJ Auxerre scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET. Markets span point spreads (-1.5, -2.5), total goals over/under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and both teams to score, with consistent resolution tied to the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All Polymarket and Kalshi markets apply identical resolution logic: official ligue1.com final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open) and cancellations (50-50 split).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Ligue 1 final score published on ligue1.com
Core resolution logic:
Spread markets (Lorient -1.5, Auxerre -1.5, Lorient -2.5, Auxerre -2.5): resolve YES if the favored team wins by the stated margin (2+ or 3+ goals) or greater; otherwise NO
Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 total goals): resolve YES if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold; otherwise NO
Both Teams to Score: resolves YES if both FC Lorient and AJ Auxerre each score at least one goal; NO if either team scores zero
Postponed games: all markets remain open until the match is completed
Canceled games with no make-up: all markets resolve 50-50
Incomplete games: resolve according to official final score if the game is started but not completed
Time scope: only goals scored within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are excluded
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed and an official final score is published.
Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split between YES and NO outcomes).
Incomplete Match: If the game is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned mid-match), resolution follows the official final score published by Ligue 1 at that time.
Extra Time and Penalties: Goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count toward resolution; only goals within 90 minutes plus stoppage time are considered.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the official final score is published on ligue1.com following the completion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on March 1, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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