TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:25 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Bundesliga encounter between FC Köln and Bremen on September 12, 2026, the event determines if each team scores at least one goal during the standard match duration of 90 minutes along with any stoppage time, not counting goals scored during extra time or penalties.
If FC Köln and Bremen both score a goal in the FC Köln vs Bremen Bundesliga match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the event's probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Köln vs Bremen match. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi, creating a real-time estimate of the likelihood of the outcome. The current price represents the cost to enter a position betting on 'Yes' (both teams to score).
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both FC Köln and Bremen score at least one goal during the match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is triggered. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The outcome will be determined by the official scoreline of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Köln or Bremen would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or referee, might also trigger shifts in the price. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could create momentum and lead to further price fluctuations before the Sep 12, 2026 resolution.