TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 4:53 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC København and FK Polissia, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC København" if FC København score more goals than FK Polissia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC København and FK Polissia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Polissia" if FK Polissia score more goals than FC København in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC København and FK Polissia, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC København" if FC København score more goals than FK Polissia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC København and FK Polissia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Polissia" if FK Polissia score more goals than FC København in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate distributed trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. In this market, prediction market participants may price second-half outcomes differently than traditional oddsmakers, especially if retail traders or specialized analysts spot value that sportsbooks have missed. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential arbitrage or research opportunities for bettors and traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares, and the price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—such as a home win, away win, or draw in the second half—has its own share price, typically ranging from near zero to near one dollar, reflecting the collective probability estimate. As traders place orders, the price moves to reflect updated expectations, ensuring that the market continuously incorporates new information about team form, injuries, and tactical developments.
Several catalysts can shift odds before Jul 29, 2026. First-half performance is crucial—if one team dominates early, traders may reprice the second-half outcome based on momentum and fatigue. Injuries or tactical substitutions announced at halftime can alter expected play. Weather changes, crowd dynamics, and referee decisions all influence how the second half unfolds. Additionally, team news, recent form updates, and head-to-head history may prompt traders to reassess probabilities. Real-time match events—goals, cards, or near-misses—will trigger rapid repricing as the second half progresses and uncertainty resolves.