TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 11:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga MX game between FC Juárez and Club Puebla, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Liga MX game between FC Juárez and Club Puebla, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader conviction and real-money risk. This market aggregates the collective judgment of thousands of participants betting their own capital, which can reveal edges that traditional oddsmakers miss—particularly in niche matchups like this one. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks helps identify where the crowd sees value or where sharp money is flowing, though both sources remain imperfect forecasts of the true probability.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact scoreline through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism, where buying or selling a specific outcome shifts its probability upward or downward. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital deployed toward a particular scoreline, the higher its price climbs, and vice versa. This continuous pricing model means odds update in real time as new information arrives—team lineups, weather conditions, or betting syndicate activity. Liquidity pools backing each outcome determine how much slippage traders face, so deeper pools allow larger positions with tighter spreads.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the FC Juárez vs. Puebla match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during regulation time. No overtime or penalty shootout results factor into settlement. Traders holding positions on the correct scoreline receive their payout automatically, while all other positions expire worthless. The resolution process typically completes within hours of the final whistle.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that alter offensive or defensive capability. Head-to-head history and recent form—winning or losing streaks—can shift trader expectations about goal-scoring patterns. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage, and rest days between fixtures also influence how traders price different scorelines. Large bets from sharp syndicates or sudden volume spikes often signal new information entering the market. As kickoff nears, late-breaking roster updates or tactical adjustments can trigger rapid repricing across all outcomes.