This event group covers the Serie A match between FC Internazionale Milano and Atalanta BC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss), total goals scored, and related derivatives across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on identical match scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) using official Serie A statistics as primary source, with consistent handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Lega Serie A match statistics (https://www.legaseriea.it/); secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours post-match.
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome determined by goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties excluded
Inter win market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if Inter score exceeds Atalanta score at full-time whistle
Atalanta win market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if Atalanta score exceeds Inter score at full-time whistle
Draw market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if both teams have identical score at full-time whistle
Total goals markets (Kalshi) resolve Yes if combined Inter + Atalanta goals exceed specified threshold (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5) at full-time whistle
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until rescheduled match is completed
If match is canceled with no makeup game: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes, Polymarket win markets resolve No; Kalshi total goals markets require explicit cancellation guidance
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution uses the rescheduled match statistics.
Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Polymarket: draw market resolves Yes, Inter win market resolves No, Atalanta win market resolves No. Kalshi total goals markets lack explicit cancellation clause; assume No resolution pending platform guidance.
Official Statistics Delay: If Lega Serie A does not publish final statistics within 2 hours post-match, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting (e.g., major sports news outlets).
Stoppage Time Goals: All goals scored during stoppage time (injury time) count toward final resolution; only extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs at full-time whistle (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official statistics confirmation required within 2 hours post-match for final settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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