Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 5, 2026, using the same primary source (official governing body statistics or credible reporting consensus).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from Lega Serie A (Italian Serie A governing body) or credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves YES if FC Internazionale Milano wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Market resolves NO if FC Internazionale Milano does not win (draw or loss).
Market resolves YES if AS Roma wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Market resolves NO if AS Roma does not win (draw or loss).
Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Market resolves NO if the match does not end in a draw (one team wins).
Exactly ONE of the three outcomes (Inter win, Roma win, or draw) will occur and resolve the corresponding market(s) to YES.
Extra time and penalties are excluded from resolution scope.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, the draw market (Polymarket) resolves YES, while the Inter win and Roma win markets resolve NO.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by Lega Serie A within 2 hours after match conclusion, or upon consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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