TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Inter Turku and FK Sarajevo, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Inter Turku" if FC Inter Turku score more goals than FK Sarajevo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Inter Turku and FK Sarajevo score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Sarajevo" if FK Sarajevo score more goals than FC Inter Turku in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Inter Turku and FK Sarajevo, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Inter Turku" if FC Inter Turku score more goals than FK Sarajevo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Inter Turku and FK Sarajevo score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Sarajevo" if FK Sarajevo score more goals than FC Inter Turku in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds may differ from traditional sportsbooks because traders here have direct financial exposure to accuracy, creating stronger pressure toward true probability. Comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees edge or where consensus shifts. Both venues offer value, but prediction markets typically reward informed analysis more directly than fixed-margin sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief of all traders; as demand shifts, the odds adjust in real time. Shares that traders believe are underpriced attract buying pressure, driving the price up, while overpriced shares see selling. The current implied probability for FC Inter Turku to win the second half is determined by the ratio of shares outstanding and recent trade flow. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the Inter Turku vs. Sarajevo match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during the second half of the match. Traders who correctly predicted the result receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process typically occurs within hours of the match ending, allowing traders to see final settlement quickly. Ensure you understand the exact outcome criteria before trading, as this market focuses solely on the second-half result rather than the full match.
Several factors could shift odds before the match kicks off. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp repricing, especially if a key player is ruled out. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions at the venue can all influence trader positioning. Social media sentiment and expert commentary may sway casual traders, while sharp bettors react to line movement on traditional sportsbooks. As match time approaches, late-breaking information tends to drive the most volatile swings. Once the first half concludes, live match dynamics—goals, red cards, or momentum shifts—will likely prompt aggressive repricing in the final minutes before this market closes.