TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Inter Turku and FK Sarajevo, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Inter Turku" if FC Inter Turku are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Sarajevo" if FK Sarajevo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FC Inter Turku and FK Sarajevo, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Inter Turku" if FC Inter Turku are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Sarajevo" if FK Sarajevo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs in real time. For this matchup, comparing Polymarket odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether professional oddsmakers or the crowd is more bullish on either team scoring first. Prediction markets tend to react faster to late-breaking information, whereas sportsbooks may lag slightly due to risk management constraints.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, where the cost of buying shares reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares for one team, the price rises and the implied probability increases, creating a continuous price discovery process. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. The market remains open until the event concludes, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before resolution.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the FC Inter Turku versus FK Sarajevo match concludes. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, verified against credible public sources such as official match records or reputable sports data providers. If the match ends in a 0–0 draw with no goal scored by either side, the market would resolve accordingly. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the final whistle, pending confirmation from authoritative match reporting.
Several catalysts can shift odds before kickoff: confirmed team lineups and injury updates, especially for key strikers or defensive players, will influence scoring expectations. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and venue-specific factors may affect play style and goal-scoring likelihood. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any last-minute tactical announcements from either manager can trigger repricing. As match day approaches, late money from sharp bettors often moves the market noticeably. Once play begins, early match events—such as an early goal, red card, or dominant possession—will cause rapid repricing in real time.