This event group covers the outcome of a Danish Superliga soccer match between FC Fredericia and Randers FC scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Fredericia win, Randers win, or draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical match outcome scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and reference the same official source (Danish Superliga). The only structural difference is Kalshi's three-outcome single market versus Polymarket's three separate binary markets, which does not affect resolution logic.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Danish Superliga statistics (superligaen.dk) as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: FC Fredericia wins, Randers FC wins, or draw (tie).
If match is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed.
If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi structure implies no resolution to Yes for any outcome.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the rescheduled match outcome.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket resolves win markets to No and draw market to Yes. Kalshi's three-outcome structure would result in no Yes resolution for any outcome.
Official Statistics Delay: If official Danish Superliga statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources.
Extra Time or Penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution scope. Only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 13, 2026, with official statistics expected within 2 hours of match end.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.