TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between FC Ferreiras and SC Mineiro Aljustrelense, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regulation time. It examines different thresholds for wins by either team, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event resolves based on how many goals separate the winning and losing sides after 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the FC Ferreiras vs SC Mineiro Aljustrelense professional Taca de Portugal soccer match scheduled for August 30, 2026, considering only regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: FC Ferreiras winning by more than 2.5 goals, FC Ferreiras winning by more than 1.5 goals, SC Mineiro Aljustrelense winning by more than 1.5 goals, and SC Mineiro Aljustrelense winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold represents a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the corresponding goal-differential victory within the defined timeframe. All markets are independent, meaning each is evaluated solely against its own criteria without influence from the others. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through continuous trading, resulting in a dynamic price that reflects the current collective outlook. The market’s top outcome — indicated by the highest chance percentage — represents what most participants believe is most likely to occur during regulation time. Volume of $0 and 24-hour volume of $0 show how much trading activity is driving price discovery. This pricing mechanism allows for rapid adjustments as new data, such as player injuries or weather conditions, impacts expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after 90 minutes of regulation time — excluding any extra time or penalties — will determine which side of the spread wins.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 30, 2026. Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, or weather conditions affecting gameplay may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, strong recent performance by either team in practice matches or friendly games can impact expectations. Media reports and analyst commentary leading up to the event often drive short-term price movements. As the match date approaches, any last-minute lineup announcements or tactical decisions could cause rapid shifts in the market’s implied probabilities.