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Closed: Sep 13, 6:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a Primeira Liga soccer match between FC Famalicão and Sporting CP, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official results reported by https://www.ligaportugal.pt/. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 13, 2026, as the result will determine the market’s resolution.
This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between FC Famalicão and Sporting CP.
The event resolves based on the result of the Famalicao vs Sporting CP professional Liga Portugal soccer match originally scheduled for September 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the three possible outcomes: Famalicao win, Sporting CP win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's rules. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time.
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by Famalicao and Sporting CP is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Primeira Liga match scheduled for September 13, 2026, 19:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while prediction markets are driven by actual money on the line. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to maximize profit margins, this market aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring, as determined by informed traders. The 24-hour volume for this market is $1,842,652.