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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

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FC Erzgebirge Aue vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim - More Markets
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of FC Erzgebirge Aue vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?

Volume:
$27,977

Reg Time: Hoffenheim wins by more than 2.5 goals

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 11:37 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: Hoffenheim wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,805
N/A
N/A
$6,001
Settled
Yes
polymarket

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)

100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Hoffenheim wins by more than 3.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$736
N/A
N/A
$620
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Hoffenheim wins by more than 1.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$637
N/A
N/A
$634
Settled
Yes
polymarket

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)

100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$338
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 0.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 2.5

100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 2.5

100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1st Half O/U 1.5

100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.4¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 0.5

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2nd Half O/U 0.5

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,623
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Aue wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Erzgebirge Aue (-2.5)

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Aue wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Erzgebirge Aue (-1.5)

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Hoffenheim wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 39

Description

This event group covers various betting markets for the upcoming DFB-Pokal soccer match between FC Erzgebirge Aue and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, including spread bets, over/under totals, and half-specific outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same core criteria: official DFB final score from dfb.de, regular time only, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from DFB (dfb.de)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on official final score published on dfb.de
  • Consider only regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time); exclude extra time and penalties
  • Markets remain open if game is postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled entirely without makeup game

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Market remains open until game is completed
  • Cancellation: Market resolves 50-50 if no makeup game is scheduled
  • Delayed Statistics: If DFB does not publish within 2 hours, use consensus of credible reporting
Timing: Resolution occurs after official DFB publication of final match statistics, within 2 hours post-match if available; otherwise within 24 hours via credible reporting consensusOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for August 22 at 9:30 AM ET.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes for the Aue vs Hoffenheim DFB Pokal soccer match scheduled for August 22, 2026, all determined solely within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct winning-margin thresholds are assessed: Aue must win by more than 2.5 goals, Aue must win by more than 1.5 goals, Hoffenheim must win by more than 1.5 goals, and Hoffenheim must win by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the exact corresponding goal-differential victory condition during regular time; otherwise, all markets resolve to 'No'. The governing body’s official match result, as recognized by the DFB Pokal league authorities at the conclusion of regular time, serves as the definitive reference for resolution, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming any official affiliation or endorsement from the league or its associated entities.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Aue vs Hoffenheim match market dashboard aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes in this match. It tracks total volume of $27,977 and 24-hour volume of $26,155, offering a consensus view of market sentiment. The dashboard updates continuously, reflecting shifts in trader confidence as new information emerges, such as team news or weather conditions. By monitoring this market, users can see how the odds evolve and compare them across platforms.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to diverse trader perspectives and real-time information flow. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet based on their own research and intuition. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as match-specific updates — like injuries or tactical changes — influence trader behavior. Comparing both can provide a broader view of expected outcomes and potential value opportunities.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of different user bases, liquidity levels, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more European football fans, skewing its odds toward certain outcomes, while the other could reflect a global audience. Additionally, each venue may have unique market design features that affect how traders place bets. These factors combined often result in divergent odds, giving traders the chance to spot and act on price discrepancies across platforms.