TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 11:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers various betting markets for the upcoming DFB-Pokal soccer match between FC Erzgebirge Aue and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, including spread bets, over/under totals, and half-specific outcomes.
More markets for the DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for August 22 at 9:30 AM ET.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes for the Aue vs Hoffenheim DFB Pokal soccer match scheduled for August 22, 2026, all determined solely within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct winning-margin thresholds are assessed: Aue must win by more than 2.5 goals, Aue must win by more than 1.5 goals, Hoffenheim must win by more than 1.5 goals, and Hoffenheim must win by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the exact corresponding goal-differential victory condition during regular time; otherwise, all markets resolve to 'No'. The governing body’s official match result, as recognized by the DFB Pokal league authorities at the conclusion of regular time, serves as the definitive reference for resolution, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming any official affiliation or endorsement from the league or its associated entities.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to diverse trader perspectives and real-time information flow. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet based on their own research and intuition. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as match-specific updates — like injuries or tactical changes — influence trader behavior. Comparing both can provide a broader view of expected outcomes and potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of different user bases, liquidity levels, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more European football fans, skewing its odds toward certain outcomes, while the other could reflect a global audience. Additionally, each venue may have unique market design features that affect how traders place bets. These factors combined often result in divergent odds, giving traders the chance to spot and act on price discrepancies across platforms.