TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Drita and FK Kauno Žalgiris, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris match originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Drita and FK Kauno Žalgiris, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris match originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. This market aggregates the collective judgment of thousands of independent traders with real money at stake, which can surface insights that differ from bookmaker pricing. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares of each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The most heavily traded scoreline currently reflects the highest probability among participants. Each outcome is priced between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), with the price representing the collective market estimate of that score occurring. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or live match developments—traders adjust their positions, and prices shift accordingly. The top outcome shows the strongest conviction, while lower-priced outcomes represent longer shots.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the match between FC Drita and FK Kauno Žalgiris concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular time, confirmed through credible public sources covering the fixture. Traders holding shares in the correct final score will receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, once the result is widely reported and confirmed.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—can shift odds significantly as traders reassess each team's attacking and defensive capabilities. Pre-match commentary from analysts and coaches may influence sentiment. Live match developments, including early goals, red cards, or momentum swings, will cause sharp repricing as traders update their probability estimates in real time. Weather conditions, venue factors, or recent form updates can also trigger movement. Close to kickoff, late-breaking information about team composition or player fitness often triggers the largest price adjustments.