TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Dinamo City and Astana FK, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Dinamo City" if FC Dinamo City score more goals than Astana FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Dinamo City and Astana FK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Astana FK" if Astana FK score more goals than FC Dinamo City in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Dinamo City and Astana FK, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Dinamo City" if FC Dinamo City score more goals than Astana FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Dinamo City and Astana FK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Astana FK" if Astana FK score more goals than FC Dinamo City in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders spot value that bookmakers have missed. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs most.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker or order-book system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one possible result, and the price reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting patterns—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new signals.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the final score or result recorded by official match authorities and major sports data providers. Until that point, traders can continue to adjust positions based on live match developments, team performance, and any other factors they believe influence the likely result.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, lineup announcements, or tactical changes revealed before kickoff. First-half performance will be critical—goals, red cards, or momentum shifts often reshape expectations for the second half. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates can also sway trader sentiment. Live match events like early goals, injuries during play, or tactical adjustments will drive sharp repricing as the game unfolds and traders update their probability estimates.