TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Déifferdeng 03 and Ilves Tampere, scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere match originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Déifferdeng 03 and Ilves Tampere, scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere match originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money skin-in-the-game. This market aggregates beliefs from thousands of independent participants, which can reveal sharper probability estimates than traditional oddsmakers, especially for niche or less-liquid matchups. However, sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like sharp professional bettors and real-time injury reports. Comparing both sources helps you identify where the market may be mispricing the outcome relative to expert consensus.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds for this market through an automated market maker mechanism, where prices adjust based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects strong conviction among participants, with pricing that updates in real time as new trades execute. Each possible exact score carries its own contract, and the combined probabilities across all outcomes should theoretically sum to 100 percent, accounting for platform fees. Prices move dynamically as traders buy and sell, making this a continuous price discovery process rather than a fixed-odds environment.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team at the end of regulation time. No overtime or penalty shootout results factor into the resolution unless the competition rules explicitly require them as part of the official final score. Traders should monitor official league announcements and match reports to confirm the final result before settlement occurs.
Team news such as injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes can shift probabilities significantly. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence trader expectations for the scoreline. Weather conditions on match day may impact playing style and goal-scoring likelihood. Betting syndicates and sharp traders often move the market as they deploy capital based on proprietary analysis. Late-breaking developments like suspensions, venue changes, or unexpected roster moves can trigger rapid repricing. Monitor sports news and team social media in the hours before kickoff for catalysts that could reshape market sentiment.