TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United FC
kalshi
polymarket

FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United FC

Volume:
$351,280

Minnesota

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 23, 2026

Closed: Apr 22, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Minnesota

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$101,811
N/A
N/A
$64,173
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Minnesota United FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,874
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dallas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105,898
N/A
N/A
$65,617
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Dallas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,835
N/A
N/A
$32,827
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,970
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 22, 2026 between FC Dallas and Minnesota United FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market resolves YES for ALL possible outcomes (Minnesota win, tie, or Dallas win), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, covering only one outcome per market.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction: the resolution criteria state the market resolves YES if Minnesota wins, if there is a tie, OR if Dallas wins — meaning it resolves YES regardless of the match result. This makes the market unresolvable and creates arbitrage risk. Stick to Polymarket for this event group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive markets: (1) FC Dallas win resolves YES only if Dallas wins, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; (3) Minnesota win resolves YES only if Minnesota wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Resolution source is official MLS statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution criteria: resolves YES if Minnesota wins, resolves YES if tie occurs, OR resolves YES if Dallas wins. This creates a logical impossibility — the market resolves YES for all three possible match outcomes, making it impossible to ever resolve NO. Quote: 'If Minnesota wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.