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Closed: Aug 13, 2:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group tracks the outcome of the second half of the UEFA Europa Conference League match between FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda and FC Twente, scheduled for August 13, 2026. The markets focus specifically on the second half result, excluding first-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda and FC Twente, scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda" if FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda score more goals than FC Twente in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda and FC Twente score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Twente" if FC Twente score more goals than FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the regulation time of the Dunajska Streda versus Enschede professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for August 13, 2026. Regulation time includes the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes any extra time or penalty shootout periods. Each market corresponds to a specific goal threshold (ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals). If the actual number of goals scored exceeds the respective threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent assessments of the same match outcome, differing only in the goal count threshold being evaluated. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can price this market differently due to variations in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Each platform attracts distinct participants, which can skew probabilities. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one venue might see heavier betting from fans of a particular team, pushing its implied chance higher. These dynamics mean that Polymarket and Kalshi may show divergent views until more definitive news influences both markets.