TOTAL VOLUME:

$107.2b

24H VOL:

$130,362,721

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,141,907,729

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,065,039,244

246,508

Markets across

24,301

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,945

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

43%

VS.

Kalshi:

57%

BETA
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether the FC Cincinnati versus Atlas FC match will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 96.0%, combining data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. The outcome will be determined by the match scheduled for August 11, 2026, so keep an eye on that date for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets consistently resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with clear handling of cancellations and post ponements.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallback if official data is delayed

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Extra time and penalty outcomes are excluded from resolution
  • Cancellations without a make-up game resolve to 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for draw markets where applicable
  • Post ponements keep markets open until the match is completed

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • cancellationWithoutMakeUp: Win markets resolve to 'No', draw markets resolve to 'Yes' where applicable
  • postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed
Timing: Resolution occurs based on official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, or via credible reporting if official data is delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Leagues Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, August 11, 2026 between FC Cincinnati and Atlas FC.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for August 1, 2026, between Atlas and Monterrey, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Atlas, a win for Monterrey, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks beyond its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the FC Cincinnati vs. Atlas FC match market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and divergence. It tracks total volume of $2,011,669 and 24-hour volume of $1,929,513, alongside current probabilities from each platform. This gives traders a live view of market sentiment and movement patterns as the event approaches.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity that may emphasize different data points than Kalshi. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, user demographics and regional biases can skew probabilities. Additionally, each platform’s liquidity and volume — $2,011,669 across all venues versus $1,929,513 in the last day — influences price discovery. These factors often create temporary mismatches between the two venues.

This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, which is compared against the market’s defined conditions. After the final whistle, the platform updates the market status to reflect the settled result.

Injuries, weather conditions, and tactical changes can all shift this market close to kickoff. Key moments such as starting lineups, recent form, and even referee announcements may cause rapid swings. Traders will also watch for any last-minute news or shifts in betting trends on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, which often preview broader market movement.