TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Atlas FC will win their Leagues Cup match against FC Cincinnati scheduled for August 11, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for Atlas FC winning stands at 95.5%, with a 1.0% probability for a draw, drawing data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution relies on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. Watch the match result on August 11, 2026, as it will determine the market outcome.
This event is for the upcoming Leagues Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, August 11, 2026 between FC Cincinnati and Atlas FC.
The event determines the winner of a professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for August 1, 2026, between Atlas and Monterrey, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Atlas, a win for Monterrey, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks beyond its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity that may emphasize different data points than Kalshi. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, user demographics and regional biases can skew probabilities. Additionally, each platform’s liquidity and volume — $2,403,624 across all venues versus $2,275,375 in the last day — influences price discovery. These factors often create temporary mismatches between the two venues.
Injuries, weather conditions, and tactical changes can all shift this market close to kickoff. Key moments such as starting lineups, recent form, and even referee announcements may cause rapid swings. Traders will also watch for any last-minute news or shifts in betting trends on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, which often preview broader market movement.