TOTAL VOLUME:
$107.2b
24H VOL:
$130,362,721
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,141,907,729
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,065,039,244
246,508
Markets across
24,301
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,945
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
43%
VS.
Kalshi:
57%
Time left: 07d:21h:09m
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Trade on Polymarket
At 96¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% High Projected APY: 542% Low liquidity 7 days to resolutionTrade on Kalshi
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/AThis market tracks whether the FC Cincinnati versus Atlas FC match will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 96.0%, combining data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. The outcome will be determined by the match scheduled for August 11, 2026, so keep an eye on that date for resolution.
This event is for the upcoming Leagues Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, August 11, 2026 between FC Cincinnati and Atlas FC.
The event determines the winner of a professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for August 1, 2026, between Atlas and Monterrey, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Atlas, a win for Monterrey, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks beyond its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity that may emphasize different data points than Kalshi. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, user demographics and regional biases can skew probabilities. Additionally, each platform’s liquidity and volume — $2,011,669 across all venues versus $1,929,513 in the last day — influences price discovery. These factors often create temporary mismatches between the two venues.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, which is compared against the market’s defined conditions. After the final whistle, the platform updates the market status to reflect the settled result.
Injuries, weather conditions, and tactical changes can all shift this market close to kickoff. Key moments such as starting lineups, recent form, and even referee announcements may cause rapid swings. Traders will also watch for any last-minute news or shifts in betting trends on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, which often preview broader market movement.