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400,720

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2,633

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5

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FC Cajamarca vs. ADC Juan Pablo II College
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of FC Cajamarca vs. ADC Juan Pablo II College?

Volume:
$765,635

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 4:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$195,392
N/A
N/A
$74,531
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (FC Cajamarca vs. ADC Juan Pablo II College)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FC Cajamarca

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$287,149
N/A
N/A
$116,010
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Cajamarca

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Juan Pablo II College

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$117,992
N/A
N/A
$66,887
Settled
No
polymarket

ADC Juan Pablo II College

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a professional Peru Liga 1 soccer match between FC Cajamarca and ADC Juan Pablo II College. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the consensus probability for a draw stands at 99.6%, with FC Cajamarca winning at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by the official Liga 1 Peru website based on the result after 90 minutes of play. Watch the match on July 17, 2026, when the final outcome will be confirmed for settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary outcomes (Win/Draw/Loss) where exactly one resolves Yes. Kalshi structures three independent Yes/No markets with identical resolution triggers, creating logical ambiguity about whether they function as mutually exclusive outcomes or independent events.Hero tip: On Polymarket, these markets are true hedges—buy all three and exactly one wins. On Kalshi, clarify whether only one market resolves Yes per match or if the platform treats them as independent binary events. The wording suggests the latter, but match logic demands the former. Do not assume Kalshi markets are mutually exclusive without explicit confirmation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets covering all possible outcomes. Exactly one resolves Yes based on official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Draw market to Yes, others to No. Key Quote: 'If FC Cajamarca wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Three independent Yes/No markets, each with its own resolution trigger. Market 1: 'If FC Cajamarca wins... then resolves to Yes.' Market 2: 'If Juan Pablo II College wins... then resolves to Yes.' Market 3: 'If Tie is the result... then resolves to Yes.' Logically, only one can occur, but market structure does not explicitly state mutual exclusivity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Friday, July 17, 2026 between FC Cajamarca and ADC Juan Pablo II College.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the FC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game originally scheduled for July 17, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—FC Cajamarca victory, Juan Pablo II College victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes based on the actual match result. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the FC Cajamarca vs. ADC Juan Pablo II College match. Traders on both platforms are pricing the likelihood of each possible outcome, creating a real-time consensus view of match expectations. The combined volume across venues reflects active interest in this event. By tracking both platforms simultaneously, you can spot pricing differences and monitor how sentiment shifts as the match approaches, giving you a comprehensive picture of where the prediction market stands on this fixture.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus—buy and sell orders from participants who believe they can predict the result accurately. Prediction market prices often reflect crowd intelligence and can diverge significantly from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges. Neither is inherently more accurate, but comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself and highlight potential value opportunities in this market.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different prices for the same event due to variations in trader composition, liquidity depth, and fee structures on each platform. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Timing differences in order flow, regional user bases, and platform-specific incentives also play a role. Even though both venues are pricing the same match outcome, arbitrage opportunities may exist between them. Monitoring these spreads helps you understand where conviction is strongest and can signal shifts in overall market sentiment as the event date approaches.