TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.3b

24H VOL:

$206,446,559

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,817,056,367

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,853,498,357

475,549

Markets across

35,554

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,812

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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FC Bayern Munchen vs. Virtus Bologna
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FC Bayern Munchen vs Virtus Bologna?

Volume:
$724,639

Virtus Bologna

 - Kalshi

Virtus Bologna - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 4:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Virtus Bologna

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$288,217
N/A
N/A
$179,779
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bayern Munich

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$226,152
N/A
N/A
$133,928
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Bayern Munchen vs. Virtus Bologna

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$210,269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the Euroleague basketball game between FC Bayern Munich and Virtus Bologna. Currently, the consensus probability of FC Bayern Munchen vs. Virtus Bologna winning is 10.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official result reported by https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/. However, be aware of a potential discrepancy in resolution dates – Polymarket resolves to the game scheduled for October 8, 2024, while Kalshi resolves to the game scheduled for October 8, 2026, as detailed in the resolution rules. Keep a close watch on the game scheduled for October 8, 2024, to see if this date is confirmed.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms disagree on the date of the game. Polymarket refers to October 8, 2024, while Kalshi refers to October 8, 2026.Hero tip: Focus trading on Polymarket as it represents the current game. Avoid Kalshi unless you are specifically betting on the 2026 game.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 8, 2024. If Bayern Munich wins, the market resolves to 'FC Bayern Munchen', and if Virtus Bologna wins, it resolves to 'Virtus Bologna'. "In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for October 8 at 2:00PM ET..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 8, 2026. If Bayern Munich wins, the market resolves to 'Yes', and if Virtus Bologna wins, it resolves to 'Yes'. "...originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for October 8 at 2:00PM ET: If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to "FC Bayern Munchen". If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Bayern Munich wins the Virtus Bologna vs Bayern Munich men's professional EuroLeague basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virtus Bologna wins the Virtus Bologna vs Bayern Munich men's professional EuroLeague basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Bayern vs. Virtus match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $724,639, with $709,437 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the likely outcome, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. The dashboard displays the probabilities implied by the trading activity on each platform, providing a comprehensive overview of expectations for this contest. It’s a valuable resource for anyone interested in understanding how prediction markets are pricing the event.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting volume and ensure profitability, while prediction markets rely on individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, like others, can reveal insights not fully captured by sportsbooks. Furthermore, prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs and allow for more dynamic price adjustments based on new information. The volume of $724,639 suggests a degree of confidence in the forecasts generated by this market, potentially offering an alternative perspective to conventional betting options.